Demographic Transformation and Labor Market Analysis of Bartın Province (2020–2025)
The study prepared by our Chamber's Academic Advisor, Assist. Prof. Dr. Ahmet ZELKA, presents key indicators on Bartın's demographic structure and labor market.
The study "Demographic Transformation and Labor Market Analysis of Bartın Province (2020–2025)," prepared by our Chamber's Academic Advisor, Assist. Prof. Dr. Ahmet ZELKA and presented to our members' attention by the Bartın Chamber of Commerce and Industry, has been completed. The main highlights are as follows:
Population Trend: Between 2021 and 2025, the total population remained flat at around 200 thousand, and no clear upward trend emerged.
Net Migration Movement: Strong positive migration occurred in 2023, whereas it fell to a negative level in 2024. This points to a structural fragility regarding the permanence of migration.
Birth–Death Balance: As of 2024, the crude death rate has risen above the crude birth rate; Bartın has entered a process of natural population decline rather than natural population growth.
Total Fertility Rate: The fertility rate, which has declined to 1.12, is well below the population replacement threshold and increases the risk of aging in the long term.
Household Structure: Average household size is declining; the small and nuclear household model is becoming widespread. Labor Force Participation and Employment: Increases in labor force participation and employment rates were observed between 2022 and 2024.
Unemployment Rate: The unemployment rate has trended downward during the same period; the economic system's capacity to create employment has strengthened.
General Assessment: Despite improvements in economic indicators, the decline in demographic indicators reveals a need for strategic planning in the medium and long term in terms of labor supply, social structure and local development.
The detailed report is attached and is presented for the information of our members.
BARTIN CHAMBER OF COMMERCE AND INDUSTRY